The credibility of the Venezuela crawling-band system
- Campos, Maria I. 1
- Torres, Jose L. 2
- Villegas, Esmeralda 3
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1
Universidad de Valladolid
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2
Universidad de Málaga
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3
La Universidad del Zulia
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ISSN: 0123-5362
Year of publication: 2006
Volume: 9
Issue: 2
Pages: 111-123
Type: Article
More publications in: Revista de economía del Rosario
Abstract
This paper studies the credibility of the Venezuela crawling-bandex change rate regime during the period July, 1996-February, 2002. We show that, introducing some modifications, the credibility analysis widely applied to target zone regimes can also be used in studying the credibility of crawling-band regimes. In analyzing the credibility of the Venezuela crawling band, first we use the so-called simple credibility tests developed by Svensson (1991).Additionally, we estimate the expected rate of realign mentusing the drift-adjustment method. Both the credibility tests and the drift-adjustment method give similar results, showing that the crawling-band system was highly credibleduring the period.