Monitorización y control de proyectos utilizando metodología de valor ganado y simulación de monte carlo

  1. Fernando Acebes Senovilla
  2. Javier Pajares Gutiérrez
  3. José Manuel Galán Ordax
Buch:
Proceedings from the 18th International Congress on Project Management and Engineering: (Alcañiz, July 2014)

Verlag: Asociación Española de Ingeniería de Proyectos (AEIPRO)

ISBN: 978-84-617-2742-1

Datum der Publikation: 2014

Seiten: 222-233

Kongress: CIDIP. Congreso Internacional de Ingeniería de Proyectos (18. 2014. Alcañiz)

Art: Konferenz-Beitrag

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Zusammenfassung

Earned Value Management (EVM) tells the project manager whether the project has overruns (costs, delays) or it is running better than planned. But taking into account uncertainty, the methodology does not specify whether the deviation from planned values is within the possible deviations derived from the expected variability of the project. In this paper, we propose an extreme different approach for monitoring and control projects under uncertainty. We use Monte Carlo simulation to obtain the “universe” of possible project runs and we define new and innovative graphs. When the project is running, we represent within these graphs where the project is, so that we can know whether project cost or duration is under control at any time, for a given level of confidence.

Fuente de los datos: Dialnet